- Trump’s trade war has caused the IMF to downgrade its forecast for global economic growth from 3.3% in 2024 to 2.8% this year (well below the 3.7% average between 2000 and 2019).
- The RBA is still expected to cut its interest rates at their May 20 meeting.
- Global markets are increasingly uneasy of Trump’s swipes at the Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell – the mere thought that Trump could erode the Fed’s independence has sent US markets into huge swings.
- CBA helped offset board losses on the ASX/S&P 200 yesterday and it’s now trading up today at 7,947 as I type, due to Trump’s latest comment that tariffs on China would be wound down.
- Amongst the market turmoil, the Aussie dollar has risen to a 4 1/2 month high of US 64.4c.
- After hitting a new all-time high of US $3,500 an ounce on Tuesday, gold has fallen for two days as investors book profits.
- REIWA’s latest statistics show Perth’s rental vacancy rate has risen again and is now at 2.5% for the March quarter. This is up from 0.4% a year ago and a balanced market is considered between 2.5% and 3.5%.
- There has also been a 21% increase in the number of homes listed for sale compared to a year ago.
- Call me for a strategy to make sense of these changes in the Perth market.
Jody Fewster